[
  {
    "rank": 1,
    "model_id": "HFE-v2.0",
    "name": "Hermes Forecast Engine",
    "type": "agentic_hfe",
    "badge": "Champion",
    "mean_brier_score": 0.1043,
    "skill_score": "+58.3%",
    "tier": "ELITE (Superforecaster)",
    "reliability": 0.001,
    "resolution": 0.0246,
    "win_rate_vs_epss": "80% (4/5)"
  },
  {
    "rank": 2,
    "model_id": "CROWD-WISDOM",
    "name": "Crowd Consensus Baseline",
    "type": "crowd_wisdom",
    "badge": "Aggregated Human",
    "mean_brier_score": 0.1232,
    "skill_score": "+50.7%",
    "tier": "PROFICIENT",
    "reliability": 0.001,
    "resolution": 0.0216,
    "win_rate_vs_epss": "80% (4/5)"
  },
  {
    "rank": 3,
    "model_id": "CVSS-HEURISTIC",
    "name": "CVSS Severity Heuristic",
    "type": "cvss_heuristic",
    "badge": "Enterprise Standard",
    "mean_brier_score": 0.1751,
    "skill_score": "+30%",
    "tier": "PROFICIENT",
    "reliability": 0.0151,
    "resolution": 0,
    "win_rate_vs_epss": "80% (4/5)"
  },
  {
    "rank": 4,
    "model_id": "RANDOM-BASELINE",
    "name": "Uninformed Random Guess",
    "type": "random_baseline",
    "badge": "Coin Flip",
    "mean_brier_score": 0.25,
    "skill_score": "0%",
    "tier": "BASELINE",
    "reliability": 0.09,
    "resolution": 0,
    "win_rate_vs_epss": "80% (4/5)"
  },
  {
    "rank": 5,
    "model_id": "EPSS-RAW",
    "name": "Raw EPSS First-Day Baseline",
    "type": "epss_baseline",
    "badge": "Population-Wide",
    "mean_brier_score": 0.6223,
    "skill_score": "-148.9%",
    "tier": "UNCALIBRATED",
    "reliability": 0.4719,
    "resolution": 0.0096,
    "win_rate_vs_epss": "0%"
  }
]