Hermes for Security Leaders & CISOs

1. Observe What changed? →

2. Understand Why does it matter? →

3. Track How does risk evolve? →

4. Predict What happens next? →

5. Decide What to do? →

6. Verify What happened? →

7. Remember Persistent memory

1. The Core Executive Problem

Security teams face an endless flood of scanner outputs:

CVSS Inflation: Thousands of CVEs flagged as “Critical” or “High” despite having zero public exploits, zero weaponization, and zero network reachability.
Static Snapshots: Traditional reports tell you what was discovered last month, but miss the sudden acceleration when an exploit is weaponized overnight.
Boardroom Scrutiny: Explaining remediation choices to the executive committee requires empirical, defensible data rather than subjective panic.

2. What Hermes Observes & Delivers

Today's Intelligence (Daily Brief)

A synthesized 24-hour brief covering what shifted, why it matters, which systems are affected, and what to watch.

Risk Velocity Δrisk / Δt

Detects non-linear weaponization acceleration days before mass exploitation campaigns hit the mainstream news.

Prescriptive Directives (T0/T1)

Actionable remediation guidance with estimated residual risk reduction (e.g. -42 pts HTS) to guide engineering prioritization.

Sovereign Stack Filtering

Filter global intelligence against your exact technology components with 100% privacy: your inventory never leaves your browser.

3. Dynamic Risk Trajectory: The End of Static Severity (Section 23)

Hermes Trajectory Engine

How Risk Trajectory Works

Legacy scanners give you a frozen number. Hermes computes the dynamic vector of exploitation.

Evaluated Vector: Apache ActiveMQ / Message Broker (CVE-2023-46604)

1. Current Risk 📍

92 / 100 HTS

Static severity & weaponization right now

Critical Exposure

2. Risk Velocity ⚡

+18 pts / 48h

Rate of change over time (ΔR / Δt)

Rapid Surge

3. Risk Acceleration 🚀

Δ²R > 0

High (positive Δ²R/Δt²)

Non-Linear Escalation

4. Trajectory 📈

Critical Acceleration

Predictive curve & systemic archetype

Immediate T0 Action

📐 Mathematical Formalization & Archetypes View R(t) equation & gradients ▾

Risk Vector Equation: R(t) = R₀ + ∫ (v(t) + a(t)·t) dt

Hermes continuously samples KEV weaponization timestamps, EPSS percentiles, and public exploit commits to calculate real derivatives.

Archetype	Exploit Behavior	Decision Directive
Critical Acceleration	v > +10, a > 0 (KEV récent + PoC public actif)	T0 Confinement immédiat (< 24h)
Exponential Inflexion	v > +5, a > 0 (Armement en cours d'outillage)	T1 Patch planifié (< 7 jours)
Plateaued Risk	v ≈ 0, a ≈ 0 (Exploit stable, pas de nouveau vecteur)	Cycle de maintenance standard
Dormant / Theoretical	v = 0, a ≤ 0 (CVSS théorique, 0 exploit in the wild)	Surveillance passive sans alerte bloquante

4. Forward Forecast: What Happens Next? (Section 24)

🔮 FORWARD FORECAST (FALSIFIABLE)

Brier Calibration V4.0

What happens next?

Evaluated Asset: ActiveMQ TCP/61616 Exposed Perimeter

Probability of increased exploitation

82%

Probabilistic estimate, not certainty

Time horizon

14 days

Active resolution window

Confidence level

High

Brier score calibrated

Corroborating Primary Evidence:

✓ CISA KEV addition timestamped in telemetry
✓ Ransomware affiliate group (LockBit / Akira) weaponization confirmed
✓ Public GitHub PoC converted into automated single-command shell script
✓ EPSS percentile surging from 0.12 to 0.89 in 72 hours

5. Concrete Workflow: From Threat Signal to Board Briefing

1. 08:00 UTC - Daily Brief Review:
   Hermes detects an inflection point on an open-source queue broker (ActiveMQ).
   Status shifts from "PoC" to "Weaponized Exploit" (HTS surges from 78 to 92).

2. Set Intersection with "My Stack":
   Hermes confirms ActiveMQ is deployed in your payment processing perimeter.

3. Execute Prescriptive Directive T0 (< 24h):
   Hermes recommends isolating TCP port 61616 behind mTLS, reducing net risk by -42 points.

4. Defensible Governance:
   Executive report generated with auditable cryptographic evidence IDs (OBS-*),
   provenance classification, and zero speculative theatrics.

4. Explore Relevant Capabilities

📅 Explore Today's Intelligence Read the latest synthesized 24h threat brief.

💻 Audit Your Sovereign Stack Evaluate your exposure privately with zero cloud uploads.

🎯 Hermes Decision Engine Review prescriptive mitigation playbooks and operational timelines.

💎 View Enterprise Plans Dedicated TAXII feeds, team workspaces, and custom SLAs.